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Weekly Market Recap – November 15, 2024

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WEEKLY MARKET RECAP – NOVEMBER 15, 2024

The major U.S. stock indexes retreated from their record highs this week, declining by approximately 1% to 3%. This pullback followed the previous week’s impressive rally of around 5% to 6% in response to the November 5 election.

The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a slight uptick, with October’s annual inflation rate rising to 2.6%, up from September’s 2.4%. While this result matched economists’ expectations, it highlighted the uneven progress toward the Federal Reserve’s long-term target of 2.0% inflation.

Yields on U.S. government bonds continued their upward trend, with the 10-year Treasury yield closing near 4.44% on Friday after briefly surpassing 4.50%—a level not seen in over five months. This is a significant rise from the mid-September low of 3.62%.

Comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other officials suggested a possible slowdown in the pace of future rate cuts, with speculation that the Fed might pause rate reductions at its mid-December meeting. On Thursday, Powell noted, “The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates.”

U.S. retail sales exceeded expectations, growing by 0.4% in October compared to the prior month, and September’s figures were revised significantly higher with new data. New claims for unemployment benefits also dropped to a six-month low, signaling strength in the labor market.

The Russell 2000 Index, which tracks small-cap stocks, fell around 4% for the week, extending its underperformance relative to large-cap stocks. This decline erased much of the nearly 9% surge it saw the previous week.

As the quarterly earnings season wrapped up, major retail companies reported results. According to FactSet, analysts anticipated that S&P 500 companies would post a 5.4% increase in third-quarter earnings compared to the same period last year, up from the 4.2% growth forecast at the start of earnings season on September 30.

Major U.S. Economic Reports

Report Period Actual Previous
NFIB optimism index Oct. 93.7 91.5
Consumer price index Oct. 0.2% 0.2%
CPI year over year 2.6% 2.4%
Core CPI Oct. 0.3% 0.3%
Core CPI year over year 3.3% 3.3%
Monthly U.S. federal budget Oct. -$257B -$67B
Initial jobless claims Nov. 9 217,000 221,000
Producer price index Oct. 0.2% 0.1%
PPI year over year 2.4% 1.9%
Core PPI Oct. 0.3% 0.1%
Core PPI year over year 3.5% 3.3%
Import price index Oct. 0.3% -0.4%
Import price index minus fuel Oct. 0.2% 0.2%
Empire State manufacturing survey Nov. 31.2 -11.9
U.S. retail sales Oct. 0.4%
Retail sales minus autos Oct. 0.5%
Industrial production Oct. -0.3% -0.5%
Capacity utilization Oct. 77.1% 77.4%
Business inventories Sept. 0.3%

Closing Prices for the Week

Contract Close
Dow Jones Industrials Average 43,444.99
Nasdaq Composite 18,680.12
S&P 500 Index 5,870.62
CBOE Volatility Index 16.14
S&P GSCI 527.18
U.S. Dollar Index 106.687
10-Year T-Note (Dec ’24) 109-170
Crude Oil WTI (Jan ’25) 66.92
Natural Gas (Jan ’25) 3.096
Gold (Dec ’24) 2,570.1
Silver (Dec ’24) 30.432
Corn (Dec ’24) 424-0
Wheat (Mar ’25) 536-4
Soybean (Jan ’25) 998-4
Coffee (Mar ’25) 283.30
Sugar #11 (Mar ’25) 21.58
Cocoa (Mar ’25) 8,504

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The post Weekly Market Recap – November 15, 2024 appeared first on World Cup Trading Championships.


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