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Weekly Market Recap – April 19, 2024

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WEEKLY MARKET RECAP – APRIL 19, 2024

The S&P 500’s descent from its late-March record high gained momentum, with the index closing the week down by 3.0%, marking its third consecutive negative result. The NASDAQ experienced a steeper decline of about 5.5%, while the Dow managed to eke out a small gain.

Concerns surrounding technology firms and the future trajectory of interest rates put pressure on growth stocks, causing a significant lag in performance compared to their value counterparts. The growth stock index concluded the week with a nearly 5% decline, contrasting sharply with the less than 1% dip seen in the value index.

Yields on U.S. government bonds continued their upward trend for the third successive week as investors recalibrated their expectations regarding imminent interest rate adjustments. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond briefly surged to 4.69% on Tuesday, reaching its highest level since November, before moderating slightly to close at 4.61% by Friday.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that gaining adequate confidence in a sustained decline in inflation might take longer than initially anticipated. In a speech on Tuesday, Powell reiterated recent indications of a delayed timeline for potential interest rate cuts, emphasizing the need to allow existing restrictive policies more time to have their intended impact.

An index monitoring investors’ expectations of short-term market volatility climbed for the third consecutive week, hitting its highest level in nearly six months by Friday afternoon, marking a 46% increase from its recent low on March 27.

Following heightened tensions between Israel and Iran, the price of U.S. crude oil briefly surged by around 4% to surpass $85 per barrel late Thursday. However, prices swiftly reversed course as tensions eased somewhat, resulting in a roughly 3% decline for the week, with Friday afternoon’s price hovering around $83.

China’s government reported that the nation’s GDP grew at an annual rate of 5.3% in the first quarter of the year, surpassing the expectations of most economists. This growth follows the implementation of stimulus measures aimed at restoring the world’s second-largest economy to pre-pandemic growth levels.

The U.S. government’s initial estimate of first-quarter GDP, scheduled for release on Thursday, is anticipated to indicate continued solid growth, but at a slower pace than the fourth quarter of last year, which saw GDP increase at a 3.4% annual rate. An estimate released earlier in the week by U.S. Federal Reserve economists projected a first-quarter growth rate of 2.9%.

Major U.S. Economic Reports

Report Period Actual Previous
Empire State manufacturing survey April -14.3 -20.9
U.S. retail sales March 0.7% 0.9%
Retail sales minus autos March 1.1% 0.6%
Business inventories Feb. 0.4% 0.0%
Home builder confidence index April 51
Housing starts March 1.32 million 1.55 million
Building permits March 1.46 million 1.52 million
Industrial production March 0.4% 0.4%
Capacity utilization March 78.4% 78.2%
Initial jobless claims April 13 212,000 212,000
Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey April 15.5 3.2
Existing home sales March 4.19 million 4.38 million
U.S. leading economic indicators March -0.3% 0.2%

Closing Prices for the Week

Contract Close
Dow Jones Industrials Average 37,986.40
Nasdaq Composite 15,282.01
S&P 500 Index 4,967.23
CBOE Volatility Index 18.71
S&P GSCI 590.26
U.S. Dollar Index 106.154
10-Year T-Note (Jun ’24) 107-290
Crude Oil WTI (Jun ’24) 82.22
Natural Gas (Jun ’24) 1.988
Gold (Jun ’24) 2,413.8
Silver (May ’24) 28.844
Corn (Jul ’24) 443-0
Wheat (Jul ’24) 566-6
Soybean (Jul ’24) 1165-6
Coffee (Jul ’24) 231.85
Sugar #11 (Jul ’24) 19.50

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<p>The post Weekly Market Recap – April 19, 2024 first appeared on World Cup Trading Championships.</p>


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